Important Information

This website is managed by Ultima Markets’ international entities, and it’s important to emphasise that they are not subject to regulation by the FCA in the UK. Therefore, you must understand that you will not have the FCA’s protection when investing through this website – for example:

  • You will not be guaranteed Negative Balance Protection
  • You will not be protected by FCA’s leverage restrictions
  • You will not have the right to settle disputes via the Financial Ombudsman Service (FOS)
  • You will not be protected by Financial Services Compensation Scheme (FSCS)
  • Any monies deposited will not be afforded the protection required under the FCA Client Assets Sourcebook. The level of protection for your funds will be determined by the regulations of the relevant local regulator.

Note: UK clients are kindly invited to visit https://www.ultima-markets.co.uk/. Ultima Markets UK expects to begin onboarding UK clients in accordance with FCA regulatory requirements in 2026.

If you would like to proceed and visit this website, you acknowledge and confirm the following:

  • 1.The website is owned by Ultima Markets’ international entities and not by Ultima Markets UK Ltd, which is regulated by the FCA.
  • 2.Ultima Markets Limited, or any of the Ultima Markets international entities, are neither based in the UK nor licensed by the FCA.
  • 3.You are accessing the website at your own initiative and have not been solicited by Ultima Markets Limited in any way.
  • 4.Investing through this website does not grant you the protections provided by the FCA.
  • 5.Should you choose to invest through this website or with any of the international Ultima Markets entities, you will be subject to the rules and regulations of the relevant international regulatory authorities, not the FCA.

Ultima Markets wants to make it clear that we are duly licensed and authorised to offer the services and financial derivative products listed on our website. Individuals accessing this website and registering a trading account do so entirely of their own volition and without prior solicitation.

By confirming your decision to proceed with entering the website, you hereby affirm that this decision was solely initiated by you, and no solicitation has been made by any Ultima Markets entity.

I confirm my intention to proceed and enter this website Please direct me to the website operated by Ultima Markets , regulated by the FCA in the United Kingdom

Important Notice

Ultima Markets does not have an establishment in Singapore and does not operate from Singapore.

Ultima Markets does not provide products or services to citizens or residents of Singapore, and account applications from Singapore citizens or residents will not be accepted.

If you are a citizen or resident of Singapore, please do not open an account or use Ultima Markets’ products or services.

By selecting “Acknowledge and Continue Browsing”, you confirm that you are accessing this website on your own initiative and that your access is not the result of any direct marketing, targeted advertising, solicitation, or promotional activity by Ultima Markets.

Nothing on this website constitutes an offer, solicitation, or promotion of products or services in any jurisdiction where such activity is prohibited. You are responsible for ensuring that your access to and use of this website complies with applicable local laws and regulations.

Acknowledge and Enter the Website
Roll Arrow

科技股反弹但动能不足,市场静待央行超级周

Ultima Markets 每日市场展望 – 2026年10月22日

周三,尽管巨头成长型股票迎来鼓励性的反弹,但全球金融市场呈现出收敛且区间震荡的基调。强劲的第三季度财报披露和前瞻指引为美国科技板块提供了底层缓解,推动基准指数展开复苏。然而,更广泛的跨资产情绪依然受到压制,在投资者为下周即将到来“超级央行周”做准备之际,整体市场的上行空间受到封堵。

加剧市场谨慎情绪的是,中东地缘政治局势继续呈现出持续的供应端风险,使能源价格顽固地维持在高位。与此同时,美元指数依然锚定在近多月低点附近,而贵金属则继续消化短期逆风。

今日焦点:淡静的经济日历与央行会议前的观望停顿

展望今日交易日,全球经济日历极其淡静,市场注意力转向仓位调整与头条新闻风险:

  • 淡静的数据日程(关注美国初请失业金): 今日的宏观经济数据发布有限,主要以美国初请失业金人数为首。在缺乏重大经济催化剂的情况下,由于金融机构在美联储、欧洲央行和日本央行下周的货币政策决定公布前校准风险敞口,预计跨资产动能将继续受到约束。
  • 地缘政治不确定性与能源价格底部: 中东地缘政治局势依然处于动态且波动的状态。尽管间接外交对话仍在继续,但持续存在的基础设施安全担忧使原油基准价格维持在高位,给全球市场带来了更广泛的成本推升作用,并限制了积极的风险偏好扩张。

前瞻与技术分析:美元指数、美元/日元与现货黄金

美元指数:在 101.50 核心基底支撑附近盘整

由于市场正在等待下一个重大催化剂,特别是下周的美联储 FOMC 议息会议,美元继续在其多周区间的下限附近交投,难以产生果断的上行动能。

USDX, H2 Chart | Ultima Markets MT5

从技术上看,美元指数正紧贴着 101.50 的关键支撑位盘整。尽管短期价格行为反映出可能引发进一步修正性走势的持续下行压力,但更广泛的结构性基底依然完好。

鉴于今日缺乏高阶宏观经济催化剂,美元指数很可能继续锁定在 101.50 上方的狭幅盘整区间内。若有效跌破 101.50,下行将暴露 101.00 的第二支撑;而若日内突破近期收敛的区间,则将缓解即期的下行压力,打开向 102.00 展开结构性反弹的大门。

美元/日元(USD/JPY):盘整结构围绕 158.00 关键关口展开

由于长期收益率差正在与技术性动能衰竭相博弈,同时也在等待新的基本面催化剂,日元交易对继续在狭窄的水平通道内收敛。

USDJPY, H4 Chart | Ultima Markets MT5

美元/日元目前正在狭幅区间内盘整,直接围绕 158.00 这一心理及技术枢轴位波动。

158.00 依然是短期方向的生死防线。若 H4 级别果断跌破 158.00,将验证更广泛的技术性反转,打开通往 156.70 和 155.00 的下行空间。相反,若稳稳守在 158.00 上方,则保持了探向 159.00 的主干盘整格局,使价格行为暂时维持在狭幅区间内。

现货黄金(XAU/USD):在 $4,150 阻力下方承压,关注 $4,100 支撑

随着近期实际收益率预期的飙升和美元强劲,金价依然锁定在短期看跌区域内。

XAUUSD, H4 Chart | Ultima Markets MT5

现货黄金继续在 $4,150/盎司 的核心上方阻力下方面临持续的抛售压力,使短期价格行为保持偏向下行。

在价格交投于 $4,150/盎司 下方期间,空头依然占据主导。交易员应密切监控 $4,100/盎司 的关键结构性支撑。若能稳固守住 $4,100/盎司,可能预示着将向 $4,150 – $4,180/盎司 展开技术性反弹;而若确认跌破 $4,100/盎司,则将预示着向 $4,070/盎司(与早前看到的先前低点重合)展开更深的修正波。

市场总结与今日关注焦点

总体而言,由于缺乏方向性动能,今日市场很可能进入平静的观望模式。虽然强劲的科技股财报为美股提供了短暂支撑,但更广泛的跨资产上行空间依然受到中东地缘政治风险以及下周“超级央行周”前仓位预调的压制。在今日经济日历淡静背景下,核心资产依然被绑定在关键的技术边界内。

今日重点关注:

  • 美国初请失业金人数: 审视每周劳动力市场数据,获取即期的日内情绪方向。
  • 中东地缘政治与能源头条: 跟踪供应风险动态,评估其对原油价格及更广泛市场风险情绪的冲击。
  • 美元指数 101.50 支撑: 观察 101.50 能否作为基底支撑守住,抑或引发向 101.00 延伸的修正性下跌。
  • 现货黄金 $4,100/盎司 防线: 监控金价能否守住 $4,100/盎司 以引发向 $4,150–$4,180 的缓解性反弹,抑或跌破并下探 $4,070/盎司。

免责声明

本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料仅供参考,旨在帮助读者了解市场形势,并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性,但不能保证资料的绝对准确性,并可能随时更改,恕不另行通知。Ultima Markets对于因直接或间接使用或依赖此类资料而可能导致的任何损失或亏损(包括但不限于利润损失)不承担责任。

立即分享

  • Article Details
  • Article Details
  • Article Details

Thank you for visiting the Ultima Markets website. Please note that this website is intended for individuals residing in jurisdictions where accessing is permitted by law. Ultima and its affiliated entities do not operate in your home jurisdictions.

By clicking on ''Acknowledge'', you confirm that you are entering this website solely based on your initiative and not as a result of any specific marketing outreach. You wish to obtain information from this website based on reverse solicitation principles, in accordance with the applicable laws of your home jurisdiction.