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Dollar Holds Ground as PCE Data Spurs Rate Cut Bets 

um editor

UM Editor

July 29, 2024 at 11:24 am

On Friday, the dollar index hovered around 104.3 following the release of US PCE inflation data. The figures, which aligned with expectations, indicated softening price pressures and strengthened the case for the Federal Reserve to lower borrowing costs this year. Core PCE prices showed the smallest monthly increase in six months, rising just 0.2%. The annual rate eased to 2.6%, the lowest since early 2021. 

The inflation report prompted an increase in the probability of rate cuts. The likelihood of a rate cut by September rose to 66% from 64%, while the odds for a cut by November increased to 78% from 76%. The probability of a rate cut by December also saw a slight increase, rising to 95% from 94%. 

Earlier in the session, the greenback received support from the US presidential debate, where Donald Trump was perceived as the winner. The perception boosted the dollar due to expectations that Trump’s policies might lead to increased inflationary pressures. 

(Dollar Index Six-month Chart) 

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Comments, news, research, analysis, price, and all information contained in the article only serve as general information for readers and do not suggest any advice. Ultima Markets has taken reasonable measures to provide up-to-date information, but cannot guarantee accuracy, and may modify without notice. Ultima Markets will not be responsible for any loss incurred due to the application of the information provided. 

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