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在3月的例會上,巴西央行將Selic利率(基準利率)下調0.50個百分點,至10.75%,符合市場預期。 央行官員指出,國際局勢仍詭譎多變,世界主要經濟體何時開始寬鬆貨幣以及全球通膨問題還未明朗。
在國內方面,經濟已呈現成長放緩跡象,與巴西央行貨幣政策委員會(Copom)的預測一致。 儘管整體消費者物價已下修,但核心通膨指數近期仍超出了既定目標。 Copom預估2024年通貨膨脹率為3.5%,2025年則可降至3.2%。 降息決定是引導通貨膨脹達到目標水準並為經濟提供穩定力量。 委員會重申打擊通膨之重要性,並提到如果預設情況成立,可能會進一步降息。 這種做法意旨在全球不確定性的背景下,將貨幣政策實施融合謹慎與節制性。
在3月份,隨著投資人消化巴西和美國央行的利率決議,匯率穩在1美元兌約4.97巴西里奧。 週一,巴西股指 Ibovespa 收盤小幅下跌,至 126,848 點。 投資人引領期盼央行貨幣政策委員會(Copom)最新會議紀錄的發佈,以及3月最新通膨和就業數據。

(USDBRL半年線圖)

(Ibovespa指數月線圖)
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隨時隨地留意市場動態
市場易受供求關系變化的影響
對關注價格波動的投資者極具吸引力
流動性兼顧深度與多元化,無隱藏費用
無對賭模式,不重新報價
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