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周三,澳大利亞統計局發布數據顯示,第三季度消費者價格指數(CPI)僅上升0.2%,略低于預期的0.3%。年通脹率從3.8%降至2.8%,這是自2021年末以來,通脹首次回到澳大利亞儲備銀行(RBA)設定的2%-3%目標區間內。

(澳大利亞同比CPI第三季度數據,來源:Investing.com)
此次下降可能受益于政府電費補貼和汽油價格的下降,而核心通脹的放緩則進一步支持了未來降息的可能性。澳洲聯儲關注的核心通脹指標即是經修正的均值,在本季度上升0.8%,略高于預期的0.7%,年增長率從4.0%降至3.5%。然而,服務行業的通脹水平仍然較高。
澳洲聯儲自11月以來維持利率不變,將現金利率保持在4.35%,遠高于疫情期間的0.1%低點。央行認為該利率足夠收緊,有助于將通脹控制在2%-3%的目標區間,同時維持就業增長。在高利率的壓力下,經濟增長顯著放緩,但核心通脹仍然頑固,勞動力市場僅略微緩解。這導致市場預計12月降息的概率僅為26%。
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隨時隨地留意市場動態
市場易受供求關系變化的影響
對關注價格波動的投資者極具吸引力
流動性兼顧深度與多元化,無隱藏費用
無對賭模式,不重新報價
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