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周一,歐元因歐元區令人失望的商業活動數據大幅下挫。法國的服務業PMI初值為48.3,遠低于預期的53.0;德國的服務業PMI初值為50.6,也低于預期的51.1。

(法國服務業PMI初值,來源:Forex Factory)

(德國服務業PMI初值,來源:Forex Factory)
本月,歐元區的商業活動大幅萎縮,主要是由于占主導地位的服務業停滯,而制造業的下滑加劇。萎縮情況廣泛,德國的經濟衰退加深,而法國在8月份因奧運會的短暫提振後又重回萎縮。盡管人們預計到巴黎奧運會效應的消退,但此次公布的數據遠比預期糟糕,暗示歐元區的增長前景相當黯淡。
因此,疲弱的數據強化了市場對歐洲央行今年進一步降息的預期。目前市場預期歐洲央行在10月會議上降息25個基點的概率約為77%。歐洲央行已在6月和本月早些時候兩次降息,市場參與者正在密切關注央行的下一步行動。此外,法國計劃在10月底前向歐盟委員會提交其公共債務削減計劃,比此前預期的提交時間有所提前。
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隨時隨地留意市場動態
市場易受供求關系變化的影響
對關注價格波動的投資者極具吸引力
流動性兼顧深度與多元化,無隱藏費用
無對賭模式,不重新報價
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