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美國4 月生產者物價指數 (PPI) 月增 0.5%,與 3 月下降 0.1%(該值經下修)相比出現顯著逆轉。 4 月漲幅超乎市場預期的 0.3%。
服務價格出現自去年7月以來的最大漲勢,繼前值修正為 -0.1% 後,勁揚 0.6%。 資產管理費用飆升 3.9% 是助漲主因。 機械和設備、批發貿易、住房地產服務、汽車零售、飯店和貨運皆出現價格上漲。 商品價格升 0.4%,而 3 月是下滑 0.2%,主要是受到油價漲 5.4% 的拉抬。 柴油、雞蛋、電力、有色金屬價格都變高。 值得注意的是,排除高波動性項目的核心生產者價格 (Core PPI) 上漲 0.5%,明顯超過預估的 0.2%。
論年環比,4 月生產者物價指數上漲 2.2%,創 12 個月新高,符合市場預期。 剔除波動較大的食品和能源品項,4月核心生產者物價指數上漲2.4%,亦符合市場預期。 其前值從2.4%下調至2.1%。
在銀行家協會活動中,美聯儲主席鮑威爾承認第一季在抑制通脹方面缺乏進展,他表示:“我不會稱之為過熱,僅是憂喜參半。”
鮑威爾於新數據提出評論,即適當的做法是”政策維持在當前利率水準的時間會比想像的還長”。 不過,他重申美聯儲預計不會進一步升息。
報告發布後,美元指數落至105水平。 市場將注意力轉向明天發表的消費者物價指數 (CPI)。 交易員壓注美聯儲降息時程恢復到 PPI 發布前,9 月降息概率約為 65%,11 月降息機率為 78%。

(美元指數週線圖)
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隨時隨地留意市場動態
市場易受供求關系變化的影響
對關注價格波動的投資者極具吸引力
流動性兼顧深度與多元化,無隱藏費用
無對賭模式,不重新報價
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