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周三,美元在波動的交易中從14個月來的低點反彈,但投資者仍預期美聯儲將在11月會議上再次大幅降息,原因是勞動力市場樂觀情緒減弱。歐元兌美元下跌0.42%,收于1.1133;英鎊兌美元下跌0.67%,收于1.3323。

(歐元兌美元日價表,來源:Trading View)

(英鎊兌美元日價表,來源:Trading View)
由于勞動力市場差距縮小,間接反映了就業市場的供需平衡,這對美國經濟來說是一個不祥的信號。市場將此解讀為美聯儲極有可能在11月會議上進行第二次緊急降息的強烈迹象。
上周,美聯儲啓動了預期中的降息周期,並采取了大于正常幅度的50個基點降息行動。美聯儲主席傑羅姆·鮑威爾表示,此舉旨在表明政策制定者在通脹壓力緩解的情況下,仍致力于維持低失業率。根據芝加哥商品交易所集團的FedWatch工具,交易員目前預測美聯儲11月7日會議上50個基點降息的概率為59%,高于一周前的37%,而25個基點降息的概率為41%。
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隨時隨地留意市場動態
市場易受供求關系變化的影響
對關注價格波動的投資者極具吸引力
流動性兼顧深度與多元化,無隱藏費用
無對賭模式,不重新報價
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