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由于一系列美国疲弱经济数据以及其央行官员公开访谈发酵下,美元指数跌落104整数关卡。
ISM最新PMI调查显示,2月美国制造业已连续第16个月萎缩,且幅度超出预期,为22年来最长的一次收缩周期。 与此同时,2月密西根大学消费者信心指数趋弱,当前状况和未来预期都在动摇。
另外,纽约联邦储备银行主席威廉斯表示央行会在今年稍晚降息,而里士曼联邦储备银行主席巴尔金则认为现在就对降息做出假设还为时过早,并指出经济仍然面临价格压力。 芝加哥联邦储备银行行长古尔斯比也担心通胀重燃,尤其是住房方面。

(美元指数半年线图)
弱势美元打开贵金属和大宗商品上涨空间。 周五,金价突破每盎司2,080美元,创历史新高,连续第二周收涨。
同时,WTI 原油期货弹至每桶80美元左右,攀四个月新高。 油价回血的部分原因是OPEC+延长减产时间的期待,加以中东地缘风险。 于3月即将召开的 OPEC+ 会议备受关注,预期产油国将继续遵守选择性限产措施,直至6月部长级会议,以维持油市稳定。

(黄金年线图)

(WTI原油年线图)
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