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周四,英镑保持稳定,有望在本周对美元收盘时得到小幅上涨。市场重点关注即将发布的美国就业数据,该数据可能会影响未来几周和这个月的货币市场走势。英镑兑美元上涨0.25%,收盘于1.3177,逐步接近上周创下的两年高点1.3269。

(英镑兑美元日线价格图,来源:Trading View)
英国央行将在两周内召开会议,制定货币政策。目前,衍生品市场表明,交易者认为本月降息的可能性很小,但11月的四分之一个百分点降息已被充分计入。英国央行是2021年首个加息的主要央行,但预计会是降息最慢的,这也是今年支撑英镑的一个重要因素。
然而,随着美国月度就业数据将在周五发布,分析师预计货币市场的整体活动暂时将保持平稳。据路透社调查的经济学家预计,8月美国非农就业人数将增加16万人,高于7月的11.4万人增幅。市场目前预计美联储将在今年剩余时间内降息约100个基点。
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