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在强劲的投资和工业需求推动下,白银市场表现出色。 其价格攀升至每盎司 30 美元以上,是2013年1月以来的最高水平,今年为止已上涨超过 25%。 尽管白银ETF交投不大,但因白银年初似乎相对被低估,实体销售有所增加。
金银比于1月超过90,形成自2022年9月最大价差。 随后比率下滑到大约80左右。 如果美联储降息,而美国经济保持韧性,预估这数字将进一步下降到70左右。
美联储降息的预期被早些时候的美国通胀资料和月度就业报告所强化。 但是,这种预期也部分被进出口价格上涨以及央行官员鹰派言论所抵消。
与此同时,白银继续受惠于太阳能电池板的运用,该行业预计今年将达到创纪录的水平。 太阳能产业需求回温可能产生白银连续第4次供需缺口。

(白银价格年线图)
受美联储降息预期升温、央行大幅采购、避险需求激增等综合因素拉抬,金价周五飙破2,400美元/盎司大关,创下历史新高。

(黄金价格年线图)
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