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2024年3月,瑞士央行出人意料地决定将基准利率调降0.25个百分点至1.5%。 九年来首次降息,并开创全球发达经济体央行启动宽松货币政策的先例。 瑞士通胀率在2月降至1.2%,已达瑞士央行0—2%目标区域内九个月,反映出物价平衡可控。
瑞士央行承认通胀趋势减弱和瑞士法郎去年的实际升值是其决定的关键。 该行官员依然密切关注物价,预计未来几年通胀将持稳在控制范围。 瑞士央行预测,2024年平均年通胀率将徘徊在1.4%,2025年则小幅下滑至1.2%,然后2026年可降至1.1%。 同时,预估短期内经济扩张将受到抑制,今年经济成长约1%。
受瑞士央减息影响,瑞郎兑美元贬值,突破0.895关口,触及11月13日以来的最低点。

(政策利率水准,瑞士央行SNB)

(USDCHF月线图)
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